‘This should not be a lead story in the news’
While Trump has recently said that the US is in a “good place” when it comes to the coronavirus and has touted the current mortality rate in the United States (an indicator that generally lags behind rising case numbers), Fauci has delivered the blunt, unsettling facts about the direction of the pandemic.
“As a country, when you compare us to other countries, I don’t think you can say we’re doing great. I mean, we’re just not,” Fauci said last week on the FiveThirtyEight podcast.
Fauci also said recently that he “would not be surprised if we go up to 100,000 (new infections) a day if this does not turn around.” Given that prediction of a frightening increase in cases in the coming weeks, public health experts said Saturday that they were glad the President had finally worn a mask, but as Dr. Peter Hotez put it: “This should not be a lead story in the news.”
“Back in February or March, it would have been the lead story, but not now. We are way past that — we have this terrible public health crisis right now,” Hotez, the Dean for the National School of Tropical Medicine at Baylor College of Medicine, told CNN’s Ana Cabrera during an interview on “Newsroom” Saturday. “The fact that we are still discussing masks is ridiculous. We have to do so much more right now to help slow this terrible onslaught that we are facing from Covid-19. With a steep acceleration, we are going to hit 70,000 cases this week.”
Hotez, who is also co-director of the Texas Children’s Hospital Center for Vaccine Development, noted that the number of cases will quickly rise to 100,000 new cases per day, as Fauci predicted — leading to even greater strain on hospitals, ICUs and staff, many of whom are already getting sick in hotspot areas. “We have no national plan, national roadmap how to deal with this and how to stop it,” he said.
A relentless focus on reopening
But Dr. Deborah Birx, the White House coronavirus response coordinator, seemed to imply that the nation does not yet have enough data — because of the limited testing of children at this point — to draw conclusions about the infection rate among children.
“If you look across all of the tests that we’ve done… the portion that has been the lowest-tested portion is the under-10-year-olds,” Birx said during Wednesday’s coronavirus task force briefing. She said the nation’s health experts are still trying “to really figure this out, because parents have done an amazing job of protecting their children.”
“We know the mortality rate in under-25 from the CDC data is less than 0.1%, and so that has been holding,” Birx said. “But until we know how many have been infected, we have no evidence that there is significant mortality in children without coexisting diseases. And that’s what we’re looking for right now, is to really make sure we’ve overturned every rock and understand that in deep detail.”
Teachers and other adults at risk
Beyond the health concerns about children, there are growing worries about the health of teachers, and how the virus could spread — with children as carriers — from schools back into multi-generational homes with vulnerable older family members.
So far, no one in the Trump administration has explained how schools can actually reopen and maintain social distancing between students — given that crowded classrooms are essentially the status quo in many school districts across the country.
In that leadership vacuum, the nation’s school districts and governors are trying to solve that puzzle on their own (as the need for greater school funding to contend with the virus, rather than less, is apparent to nearly everyone except the President).
There is no question that parents want their children to go back to school, because it will be impossible for most parents to go back to work at full capacity if their kids are not in the classroom. And the most economically disadvantaged families may suffer the most if schools do not reopen.
But parents also have made it clear that they want it to be safe, and many fear a second wave of infections if proper measures are not taken to contain the virus in schools.
It is too soon to know how American parents will respond to the administration’s haphazard approach to school reopenings, but Trump’s tactics of confusion and obfuscation have not gone over well so far. And putting children at risk in order to satisfy the President’s desire for a strong economic reopening this fall may carry a heavy political price.